PNG-Bougainville: Evaluation of possible main options against specified criteria table

('high', 'medium' or 'low' ratings given to each of nine options against each of 20 criteria to assess the relative strengths and shortcomings of the options)

CRITERIA		OPTIONS
i.e. extent to which the Option		I	II	III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX

MOVING FORWARD TOGETHER – WITHIN BOUGAINVILLE
1	protects the peace between Bougainvillean parties	Low	Medium	Medium	Medium	High	Medium	Low	Low	Low
2	promotes reconciliation in Bougainville	Low	Low	Medium	Medium	Medium	High	Medium	Low	Low

3	builds consensus among Bougainvilleans	Low	Low	Medium	Medium	Medium	High	Low	Low	Low

4	provides power at community level	High	High	High	High	High	High	High	Medium	Low

5	provides democratic participation in decisions	Low	Low	Medium	High	High	High	Low	Low	Low

6	maintains possibility of Independence	High	High	High	High	High	High	Low	Low	Low

7	provides, at least, highlevel of self-government	High	High	High	High	High	High	High	Low	Low

8	protects the peace with GoPNG	Low	High	High	High	High	High	High	High	High

MOVING FORWARD TOGETHER – BOUGAINVILLE WITH OTHERS
9	promotes reconciliation between GoPNG and Bougainville	Low	Medium	Medium	High	High	High	High	High	High


10	promotes agreement with PNG	Low	High	High	High	High	High	High	High	High

11	maintains international support	Medium	Medium	High	High	High	High	High	High	Low

POTENTIAL POWERS OF THE BOUGAINVILLE GOVERNMENT
12	provides the powers to address basic grievances	High	High	High	High	High	High	High	Medium	Low
13	provides the powers to redress past human rights abuses & protect against future abuses	High	High	High	High	High	High	High	Low	Low
14	provides the powers to allow Bougainville's special needs to be addressed, and promotes a return to normalcy	High	High	High	High	High	High	High	Low	Low

FACILITATES DEVELOPMENT OF BOUGAINVILLE'S CAPACITY
15	allows capacity to address basic grievances to development	Low	Low	Medium	Medium	Medium	High	High	Medium	Medium
16	allows capacity to develop so able to redress past, & protect against future human rights abuses	Low	Low	Medium	Medium	Medium	High	High	Low	Low
17	allows capacity to develop so that able to meet Bougainville's special needs and promote a return to normalcy	Low	Low	Medium	Medium	Medium	High	High	Medium	Medium
18	takes account of current government capacity limits and allows time for strengthening to take place	Low	Low	Medium	Medium	Medium	High	High	Medium	Medium
19	takes account of current weak economic base and allows time for strengthening	Low	Low	Medium	Low	Medium	High	High	Medium	Medium
20	takes account of restricted revenue base	Low	Low	Medium	Low	Medium	High	High	Medium	Medium

I	Immediate Independence. Unilateral.(No agreement)
	Immediate Independence. Unilateral.(No agreement)
II	Immediate Independence. Agreed.
	Immediate Independence. Agreed.
III	Deferred Independence. Agreed. Autonomy in interim.
IV	Immediate Referendum for Immediate Independence. Agreed. Autonomy if Referendum goes against.
V	Immediate Referendum for deferred Independence. Agreed. Autonomy in interim or if Referendum goes against.
VI	Deferred Referendum.Agreed. Autonomy in interim and if Referendum goes against.
VII	No Independence. No Referendum. Self-government. Agreed. (Special Organic Law)
VIII	No Independence. No Referendum. 1976 OLPG. Agreed. (Special Organic Law)
IX	No Independence. No referendum.

1995 OLPG&LLG. Agreed. (No Special Organic Law)

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