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Self-regulating ceasefire

Oksana Antonenko (2005)

A unique aspect of the Nagorny Karabakh conflict is that for more than a decade the line of contact (LOC) separating Azerbaijan and de facto Armenian-controlled Nagorny Karabakh has been observed by all parties without external peacekeepers or a permanent monitoring force. But there remain questions over whether this system is sustainable or effective in the long run without any progress towards the political settlement of the conflict. Oksana Antonenko describes how this situation arose (with the OSCE’s High Level Planning Group charged with deploying peacekeepers deciding to make deployment dependent on progress towards a political settlement) and the role of peacekeepers in any future agreement. In conclusion, Antoneneko calls for confidence-building measures and more intrusive OSCE inspections of the LOC.

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